Welcome to this years SpoilerTV Cancellation Predictor
Final 12 months, every week, we up to date our information (see the notes under about how we get our information) as a way to see if we might predict which present(s) can be renewed or cancelled. As you may see from last years summary, we did fairly nicely aside from just a few CW exhibits and COVID-19 Pity Renewals.. We’re hoping this 12 months to make it much more correct though I am certain COVID-19 goes to play a significant position right here once more.
This index is certainly not a 100% correct information about in case your present is protected or at risk and needs to be seen as a little bit of FUN.
NOTE: Till we have now a minimum of 3-Four weeks of knowledge for every present that this desk is just not going to be very correct and it’ll differ rather a lot every replace. We’ll attempt to replace the complete Cancellation Desk as soon as per as soon as the brand new season begins and the rankings are launched.
1) The LOWER the Index Ranking quantity the extra doubtless a present is to get cancelled, HIGHER numbers = security.
2) That is an ongoing train that I hope to refine every week to make the index extra correct.
3) Solely the key networks are included at the moment ie ABC/FOX/CW/CBS/NBC. And just for the primary TV Season ie we do not cowl Summer time Exhibits.
4) This chart is a prediction of all of the exhibits utilizing our personal formulation primarily based on the viewing numbers, 18-49, and + 7 Numbers. These Three elements are the primary weighting of the Index quantity, nonetheless we additionally think about issues such because the Community they’re on (eg CW exhibits get decrease numbers), the day of week they air (eg Fridays are decrease numbers), DVR Numbers and +7 and +Three numbers,DVD/Blu-Ray Gross sales,Manufacturing Prices, Forged Contracts/Availability, Syndication, on-line reputation corresponding to streamed views, Nielsen On-line Rankings and so forth.
5) Exhibits nonetheless may not get renewed regardless of good numbers due eg a present coming to an finish of run eg A present could be in it is ultimate season it doesn’t matter what the rankings are and so forth or might be because of key forged wanting to depart after their contracts have expired. Latest Examples are H50 and SPN, when the leads needed out regardless of the rankings being sturdy sufficient for an additional season. and so forth
6) Keep in mind Rankings are relative to rankings for different exhibits on the identical community.
7) Exhibits which have been renewed for a New Season are marked in Blue
8) Exhibits with an Index underneath 6 are prone to be cancelled, between 6 and eight – at risk and higher than Eight protected. Though exhibits nearer Eight are extra at risk than a present with the next index rating.
9) You’ll be able to entry this web page by way of both the Begin or Options Menu above or just by Bookmarking it.
Here’s a direct hyperlink to the full spreadsheet.
When you’ve got any questions/ideas, please do not hesitate in asking within the feedback under.